I Played College Ball
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40 Dime
Interleague Best Bet
Astros at Padres - 6:40 ET
Daily Play Recap
9/17 - 40 Dime - Diamondbacks (RL -105) - Loss
9/16 - 75 Dime - Eagles - Loss
9/15 - 50 Dime - Jets - Win
9/14 - 100 Dime - TCU - Loss
9/13 - 50 Dime - Arizona (-130) - Loss
9/12 - 50 Dime - Arizona State - Win
9/11 - 40 Dime - Tigers (+105 RL) - Win
9/10 - 50 Dime - Astros (RL +110) - Loss
9/9 - 40 Dime - 49ers-Jets Under - Loss
9/8 - 100 Dime - Lions - Win
9/7 - 100 Dime - Nebraska - Win
9/6 - 40 Dime - Eagles-Packers Over - Win
9/5 - 40 Dime - Chiefs-Ravens Over - Push
9/4 - 50 Dime - Brewers (-120) - Loss
9/3 - 50 Dime - Diamondbacks - Win
9/2 - 50 Dime - Boston College - Win
9/1 - 50 Dime LSU (-130) - Loss
8/31 - 50 Dime - Nebraska - Win
1st-Ever NFL 100 Dime Max Wager Release
- Rams (-3') 26-20 over Rams (9/6) -
- Check out my Analysis -
The price on this first Sunday night primetime game between the Rams and the Lions opened with Detroit favored by -3 1/2 and as I type my analysis the line has moved to Detroit -4 1/2 points. A little "puffy" considering these teams played a very tight game on this field in January in the postseason as the Lions took it 24-23 as the field goal home favorite, but the Rams took it at the ticket window.
Could it be a similar scenario tonight? Of course, this is gambling and there are no "sure things," but the Rams do come into this game missing a BIG piece of their defense this season as Aaron Donald the future Hall of Famer is now retired and will not be on the field to anchor this defense that is likely breaking in 5 new starters that will include a pair of rookies along the line.
That spells trouble if you ask me, especially against a Lions offense that retained their offensive coordinator Ben Johnson, who was on plenty of teams' shortlist to take over somewhere this season as a head coach.
Detroit is gone 9-4 against the spread since the 2022 season as a home favorite, while Los Angeles is only 1-6-2 against the spread as a non-division road dog in the same span. That cover? It was the aforementioned playoff loss in January.
Sure, the Matthew Stafford/Jared Goff angle will be spoken of once again, but we went down that road last year, so it's not likely to be as big of a deal. Stafford does have the receiving corps to trade points tonight against Detroit's suspect secondary, but I believe the Lions are just a little further along in completeness as a team, and I like them to cover tonight.
Last year the early primetime trend was to play the underdogs but so far this week, BOTH favorites - Chiefs on Thursday and Eagles on Friday covered - and on Sunday night last year the season opened with a pair of favorites covering as chalks covered 6 of the first 9 games overall a year ago.
Lay the wood.
Back-to-back losers, and Big Mike is not happy!
Time for a winner, and then 5 straight days of football winners on top of tonight's baseball winner.
40 Dime
Interleague Best Bet
Astros at Padres - 6:40 ET
Houston and San Diego in the rubber game at Petco Park. Let's handle business my friends.
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Big Mike's Tompkin's Rating System
My focus, like any smart strategist, is on long-term success and building consistent profit over time.
As a seasoned analyst and former player, I like to keep things straightforward. That's why I developed the Yardage Rating System. It’s simple, intuitive, and keeps plays in perspective, just like measuring progress on the field.
At the top of my scale is the 100-yard play. This is my strongest recommendation, the kind of insight that doesn’t come along every day, but can make a significant impact when it does.
Now I realize listing a play in terms of "yards" is somewhat confusing, although I think conceptually it so much simpler that any "star" system that others use. So, for sake of clarity, I will bow down to pressure and substitute the word "dimes" for "yards" as so many other handicappers do at this site.
Back to my system....
When I have smaller releases, like 50- or 75-yard plays, they shouldn’t be overlooked. Their value is all about context, how I’m reading the game at that moment in relation to the current state of our bankroll.
Remember, it’s always about perspective. Each play has its place. Understanding that is key to making the most of my analysis.
Who is "Big Mike" Tompkins?
I've been in and around sports my entire life. Played three years of college football at the FCS level as a defensive lineman. At 6-7, 270 you know why they called me "Big Mike." Played basketball, too. After graduation, I was invited to the Buffalo Bills training camp, but an injury ended those dreams. I did, however, spend a few years playing Arena Football before I called it a career.
Bottom Line: I PLAYED the game. I KNOW the game.
With years of experience on the field and behind the scenes, I bring you an unmatched blend of knowledge and expert analysis. Understanding game strategies provides me insight and an edge when handicapping. I offer daily analysis that goes beyond the numbers.
Today's Complimentary Play
Wednesday freebie on the Giants as the underdog against the Orioles in Baltimore.
There is cause for concern in Charm City, as the O's have gone into a major tailspin at the wrong time of the year. Baltimore has drifted 4 games off the division lead trail against the Yankees thanks to losses in 7 of their last 9 games.
Last night the Giants skunked the Birds, 10-0. Baltimore's offense has flown South for the winter as they have scored only 18 runs in their last 9 games, and have been shutout in 3 of those 9 games.
No question Baltimore should win this game tonight, but that does not mean they are going to win this game tonight!
The price is right for an underdog play on the Giants.
1♦ SAN FRANCISCO
(On a 1♦ to 5♦ basis)