Pro Football Free Picks
NY Jets (-3) at JACKSONVILLE
By Jackson Reyes, Featured Handicapper
Two straight 60 Dime NBA Underdog Winners, with the Magic and Warriors cashing in losses on Tuesday and Wednesday, respectively.
Thursday and Friday I upped it to 80 Dimes and nailed the Celtics in a rout of Detroit and Grizzlies in a blowout of Brooklyn, respectively.
Tonight I am raising the bar in college with the Biggest Release of my Career.
Ready for my First-Ever 100 Dime Basketball Release?
I'm now on an 11-4 run with all 80 Dimers and this one is stronger.
Biggest Release of the Season Goes Tonight!
Winning Day # 5 in a Row
$10 Bettors have made $2,800 since Tuesday
First-Ever
100 DIME
Basketball Release
of My Career
Non-Conference Game of the Month
Tennessee at Illinois
5:30 Eastern
Stronger than my 80 Dimers in the NBA the last two nights
Grizzlies (-10) by 16 over Brooklyn on Friday
Celtics (-11') by 24 over Detroit on Thursday
Stronger than my 60 Dimers in the NBA the previous two nights
Warriors (+2) in a 1-point loss in Houston on Wednesday
Magic (+7') in a 5-point loss in Milwaukee on Tuesday
My free winner for Sunday is the New York Jets laying the field goal in Jacksonville against the Jaguars.
I don't know if it's a fascination with Aaron Rodgers, but the Jets have become a public team this season, with money pouring in.
I don't mind it so much this week, as they travel to Jacksonville to play a terrible team with a lame-duck coach who is seemingly out the door in a month.
Look at their last three games - against Indianapolis, against Seattle and in Miami - and you have losses by 1, 5 and 6. That's an average of 4.0.
Now they're taking on a team that is worse, and has struggled to keep Trevor Lawrence healthy. I have to believe with the Rams, Bills and Dolphins on deck, this is the Jets' last legit chance at a sure win.
Lay the points.
1* JETS
Houston vs. Oklahoma City (-5'), at Las Vegas
By Jackson Reyes, Featured Handicapper
Two straight 60 Dime NBA Underdog Winners, with the Magic and Warriors cashing in losses on Tuesday and Wednesday, respectively.
Thursday and Friday I upped it to 80 Dimes and nailed the Celtics in a rout of Detroit and Grizzlies in a blowout of Brooklyn, respectively.
Tonight I am raising the bar in college with the Biggest Release of my Career.
Ready for my First-Ever 100 Dime Basketball Release?
I'm now on an 11-4 run with all 80 Dimers and this one is stronger.
Biggest Release of the Season Goes Tonight!
Winning Day # 5 in a Row
$10 Bettors have made $2,800 since Tuesday
First-Ever
100 DIME
Basketball Release
of My Career
Non-Conference Game of the Month
Tennessee at Illinois
5:30 Eastern
Stronger than my 80 Dimers in the NBA the last two nights
Grizzlies (-10) by 16 over Brooklyn on Friday
Celtics (-11') by 24 over Detroit on Thursday
Stronger than my 60 Dimers in the NBA the previous two nights
Warriors (+2) in a 1-point loss in Houston on Wednesday
Magic (+7') in a 5-point loss in Milwaukee on Tuesday
I already went 2-0 in the NBA Cup earlier this week, and now I'm granting you a third winner for free, as I'm backing the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points against the Houston Rockets in the semifinals.
The Thunder don't have the best record in the NBA, but I'd venture to say they're the best team in basketball right now. Sitting at 19-5, and atop the Western Conference, the Thunder have won four straight and eight of nine - including five of six away from Oklahoma City.
MVP candidate Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is seemingly unstoppable, averaging 30.2 points, 6.3 assists an 5.4 rebounds per game. SGA ranks third in the NBA Cup scoring at 32.2 points per game.
Saturday night in Las Vegas the SGA and the Thunder are going to capitalize on a Rockets team that could still be celebrating a win over the Warriors, its first after 15 straight losses to Golden State.
But what I didn't like about that game was Houston's struggles on offense. Yes, the Rockets pulled off the win, coming from behind late, but they provided plenty of footage for the Thunder and their No. 1 defensive rating in this semifinal.
Let's lay the points with OKC.
1* OKLAHOMA CITY
NFL Betting Strategy Update
By Al DeMarco - GM, Featured Handicapper
Not a free pick, but something more valuable....a discussion on betting strategy.That little quirky trend I discovered some 13 years ago regarding SU Winners covering in the first 10-13 weeks of the season..,.well, here's your update:
SU Winners vs the Spread:
- Week 1: 12-4 ATS
- Week 2: 13-2-1 ATS
- Week 3: 16-0 ATS
- Week 4: 12-3-1 ATS
- Week 5: 13-1 ATS
- Week 6: 13-1 ATS
- Week 7: 13-2 ATS
- Week 8: 13-3 ATS
- Week 9: 11-4 ATS
- Week 10: 9-5 ATS
- Week 11: 13-1 ATS
- Week 12: 11-1-1 ATS
- Week 13: 11-5 ATS
- Week 14: 8-5 ATS
- You see what I wrote at the outset; this trend usually starts
to fade around week 13 and the past two weeks have been
the worst two-week period of the entire season. It has
rebounded in past years on occasion, but no often. - Total: 168-37-3 ATS (82.0%)
How have dogs done?
- Week 1: 6-10 ATS (2 outright)
- Week 2: 11-4-1 ATS (9 outright)
- Week 3: 8-8 ATS (8 outright)
- Week 4: 10-5-1 ATS (7 outright)
- Week 5: 4-10 (3 outright)
- Week 6: 3-11 (2 outright)
- Week 7: 6-9 (4 outright)
- Week 8: 7-9 (4 outright)
- Week 9: 5-10 (1 outright)
- Week 10: 11-3 (5 outright)
- Week 11: 5-9 (4 outright)
- Week 12: 5-7-1 (4 outright)
- Week 13: 9-7 (4 outright)
- Week 14: 8-5 (3 outright)
- Again, everything is cyclical and this is the
best two-week run for the dogs since way
back in Weeks 2-4. Yet they're still 2 games
under .500 for the season. - Total: 98-100-3 ATS (60 outright)
How many times have I told you everything is cyclical? Weeks 2-5 the pups went 29-17-2, but over the next five weeks the favorites roared, going 49-25 ATS. Where were all those geniuses telling everyone that you should always bet the dogs then? But you see what happened in Week 10, right? The dogs barked loud and clear to the tune of 11-3 ATS. Then then crashed the following two weeks, going 10-16-1. But suddenly they've put together they're best run (17-12 past two weeks) since early in the season. Let me reiterate: By the end of a regular season encompassing 272 games, the spread between favorites and underdogs will be less than 20 games.
I've also repeatedly said there is value in placing a SMALLER wager on a pup - if that's your top play - on the Money Line if you're getting a significant take-back price (at least +140 or more) because 1) it's a smart investment and 2) over the course the season you'll find the dogs win outright around 30-35% of the time. Through 14 weeks the pups have won outright at a 29.3% clip of ALL GAMES PLAYED and 61.2% of games where the dogs have simply barked.
Now, let's break it all down a little more:
SU Winners vs the Spread - Prime Time Games Only
(their results are included above)
- Thursday: 12-4 ATS (Favorites 10-6 ATS)
- Friday: 1-1 ATS (Favorites 1-1 ATS)
- Sunday Night: 11-2-1 ATS (Favorites 9-4-1 ATS)
- Monday Night: 16-1 ATS (Favorites 11-6 ATS
- Monday Night (5 outright MNF dogs)
- Total: 40-8-1 ATS (Favorites 31-17-1 ATS)
How's that "bet the dogs" strategy in TV games doing for you?
NFL Betting Strategy