Premium Picks


RECENT RESULTS

Wednesday, Nov. 20

500♦ St. Peter's - Loser

Tuesday, Nov. 19

500♦ Wichita State - Winner

Monday, Nov. 18

500♦ Missouri - Winner

Sunday, Nov. 17

800♦ Over Ravens-Texans - Loser

Saturday, Nov. 16

800♦ Georgia State (foots) - Loser

Friday, Nov. 15

800♦ Idaho (hoops) - Winner

Thursday, Nov. 14

800♦ Longwood (hoops) - Winner

Wednesday, Nov. 13

800♦ Ohio (hoops) - Winner

Tuesday, Nov. 12

300♦ Ohio (foots) - Loser

Monday, Nov. 11

500♦ Drake - Loser

Sunday, Nov. 10

500♦ Under Bills-Browns - Winner

Saturday, Nov. 9

800♦ UTSA - Winner

Friday, Nov. 8

500♦ USC - Loser

Thursday, Nov. 7

500♦ Clemson - Winner

Wednesday, Nov. 6

500♦ Vanderbilt - Winner

Tuesday, Nov. 5

500♦ Northern Iowa - Winner
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365 DAYS OF SERVICE - 1 FULL YEAR
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Every Play - Every Sport - For 365 Days

 

NFL, college football, NBA, college hoops & Baseball

 

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30 DAYS OF SERVICE
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Every Pro & College Football, NBA & College Hoops,

and Baseball Play Included
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Steve Budin, Chuck O'Brien,

 Sean Michaels, Matt Rivers,

Karl Garrett (NHL) and Gabe DuPont (NHL) 

do NOT release plays every day


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Chris Jordan's Rating System

 

Everyone should be on the same page for each new campaign and how to approach each season.

 

You first must understand the Kelly Criterion, sometimes referred to as the Kelly formula; it's a blueprint I like to use to maximize the long-term growth rate of our bankroll, using repeated gambles of the variety of ratings I give out.

 

That criterion says an aggressive gambler should wager a set percentage of his bankroll, pertaining to the advantage (or rating system in this case) he feels he has over the game itself.

 

For those of you who play blackjack when visiting casinos, you may do the same thing in determining there is a one percent advantage over the dealer, and wager 1 percent of the total bankroll.

 

The key thing to remember is determining the percentage your using, and the maximum you'd be willing to risk on the top rating you will find here, which is the 1,000♦ Power Play.


On a daily basis you will find my plays ranging from from 100♦ and 1,000♦, but well within percentages you can effectively spread your wagers. When you do see the rating system on plays upgraded to a higher level, I will always talk about managing the bankroll accordingly.

 

Remember, a 1,000♦ play does not indicate a specific amount for everyone in general, it means if you're absolute biggest play you're willing to make is a nickel - that is your gauge with this rating system.

 

You need only divide accordingly from your absolute maximum amount into whatever the rating is, based on 1,000♦ being the highest rating.

Overall, you will find that I like to keep it consistent day-to-day so you know exactly when I'm stepping out on a big play.

 

Please follow these ratings accordingly.

 

IMPORTANT NOTE:

 

The occasional 2,000♦, 3,000♦ or BLANK CHECK releases are games I feel are extreme value for the price, or in Kelly Criterion theory - is more of an advantage over the book.

 

I have always personally played a Blank Check game FIVE TIMES THE SIZE of my regular maximum bet. So, for example, on day I am releasing a Blank Check Winner, one 1,000♦ play and three 200♦ picks, a player with a maximum wager of $500 would wager the following:

 

Blank Check play - $2,500

 

1,000♦ Plays - $500

 

200♦ Plays - $100 each

 

With the vig, you would have a total of $3,630 in action.

 

Hope this helps in regards to money management!


Complimentary College Football Winner

137 Tcu
138 OKLAHOMA (-17)

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My free college football winner for Saturday is on the Oklahoma Sooners, laying the big number to the TCU Horned Frogs. After last week's scare against the Baylor Bears, I have to believe the Sooners will come into this one throwing haymakers from the start.

Saturday, the Sooners trailed 28-3 early in the second quarter at Baylor and were down 31-10 at halftime. Then they mounted a huge comeback and crushed the souls of Baylor fans.

Things won't be as hard against TCU, as its defense won't be able to stop Jaylen Hurts, who finished with 297 yards passing and four touchdowns, and 114 yards rushing against Baylor. And Hurts was without one of his premier receivers, CeeDee Lamb, who missed the game because of an undisclosed medical issue.

Oklahoma has the No. 1 offense in the nation, and TCU is bringing a respectable defense, but one that that has shown signs of vulnerability in allowing 41 points at home to SMU, 49 points at Iowa State, 34 points at Oklahoma State and 31 at Texas Tech last week.

The Horned Frogs rank 61st in giving up 26.9 points per game, but if you start counting after their first two games of the season - when they allowed a combined 20 points - they've given up an average of 31.1 points per contest.

Fact is, the Sooners continue to win games in November - when it matters most - and is still playing for an opportunity to get in the playoff for the fourth time in five seasons. Oklahoma has won 19 in a row in November, and it's covered four straight against TCU.

Lay the chalk, as Oklahoma won't be caught off guard in this one.

1♦ OKLAHOMA
Based on 1♦ to 5♦

Complimentary Pro Football Winner

Oakland (-3) at N.Y. JETS

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Now that the Oakland Raiders have swept a three-game homestand in Oakland for the first time in 39 years and they're muddled in the AFC playoff race, it's back on the road for the most well-traveled team in the NFL.

The Raiders zipped across the nation, and the pond, over five games and survived. They could realistically catch the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC West, so this becomes a very big game for a six-win team that is 5-1 win at home, and needs to step up on the road.

The one thing I will say about the New York Jets is they did themselves no favors by winning the way they did last week in Washington D.C., their second straight win. The gamefilm now shows how the worst offense in the league was able to play its best game, and Jon Gruden will have his troops ready for their most important game on the schedule.

It's no surprise the defense has improved, after being dissected by Patrick Mahomes, Kirk Cousins, Aaron Rodgers and Deshaun Watson early on. We've seen that unit boast a defensive front with 12 sacks the past three weeks and make several big plays to seal victories.

Oakland is making a strong case to have the most players on the NFL's All Rookie team, as running back Josh Jacobs, defensive ends Maxx Crosby and Clelin Ferrell and slot receiver Hunter Renfrow have the Raiders leading the league in yards from scrimmage (1,676), touchdowns (14), yards rushing (937), receptions (73) and sacks (10) from the rookie class. The Raiders are the first team to have at least 10 sacks and 10 touchdowns from rookies in the first 10 games of the season since sacks became an official stat in 1982.

Lay the chalk with Oakland in this one, as it rolls to a win and cover.

3♦ RAIDERS
Based on 1♦ to 5♦