Home team is the right side of this one in the MAC tonight.
The battle for the top seed in the MAC tourney is on the line tonight as Akron and Bowling Green, both 11-3 in conference play, do battle for the 2nd time in 14 days.
In that first meeting at Akron on February 11th, the Zips went wire to wire for the 74-59 win as a 7-point favorite.
B.Green shot 36% from the floor including 24% (6-25) from behind the arc, 5-11 from the charity stripe in a pretty bad performance.
Not going to win many games on the MAC road against elite teams if your best player goes 4-12 from the field, (1-3 from deep), with 4 turnovers and 1 rebound.
That my friends is what BGSU star guard Justin Turner did in that first meeting and his 12 points was 7 below his average of 19 a game this year.
Now back home, where the Falcons are 12-1 this year, I expect Turner to be at his very best.
I don't think the Zips 5'8 guard Loren Jackson goes for 28 points again like he did in the first meeting, which saw Akron put only 1 other guy in double digits.
The team that wins this game covers the number and that my friends will be BGSU, as they get revenge and take the lead in the MAC after tonight.
They will dominate them again.
Back on January 4th at Louisville, the Seminoles rolled into the Yum Center as 6 1/2 point dogs and hammered the Cards 78-65.
Leonard Hamilton's kids shot 55% from the floor, hit 11 of 23 from deep and forced the Cards into 16 turnovers.
Now back home where they are perfect 14-0 this year, with 13 of those home wins being by 4 points or more.
Since their 80-64 loss at Indiana back on December 3rd this FSU team has gone 16-2 with their 2 losses at Virginia 61-56 and at Duke 70-65.
They return home off a rock solid win at NC State 67-61, the same NC State team that destroyed Duke just last Wednesday by double digits.
Bottom line: This is a dangerous team right now.
As for Chris Mack and Louisville, sure they come in here off a pair of nice home wins over Syracuse 90-66 and UNC 72-55 but what about before that??
They lost at Georgia Tech 64-58 as a 6-point chalk and at Clemson 77-62 laying 4 1/2.
I deem this FSU team a step above both of those teams and quite honestly, I am shocked this line is not higher.
With the value of the number favoring the home team, I will side with the team that has been more consistent all year long,........Florida St.
Lay a little wood in the sunshine state tonight.
Might as well break out the brooms tonight.
Fresh off the all star break the New Orleans Pelicans look to pick up right where they left off against a team they have absolutely owned this year.
Winners of 6 of their last 9 heading into the break, the boys from the Bayou look for the 4-0 season sweep over Portland, who will not have Damian Lillard tonight.
The Blazers point guard missed the first meeting this year on November 19th as was Zion in New Orleans, a 115-104 Pelicans win as a 3-point favorite.
The 2nd meeting was December 23rd in Portland and the Pelicans +6 delivered the outright win 102-94 as Lillard scored 17 points in the loss.
The last meeting, 2 days before the all start break in New Orleans, would be the first time the Blazers saw Zion and they had no answer for the rookie.
The #1 pick in the draft went for 31 points and 9 boards as New Orleans, down 2 at the half, outscored Portland 41-21 in the 3rd for the 138-117 blowout win.
Lillard scored 20 in that loss.
You are 0-3 against a team that has beaten you by an average of 13.3 points and you are missing your best player.
Good luck against this team tonight.
Lets get to the numbers: New Orleans is 5-1 ATS last 6 as a favorite and 8-2 ATS their last 10 following a SU loss.
The last 11 times facing a team with a winning SU record, 10-1 ATS.
With the Blazers 6-13 ATS the last 19 games as an underdog and no Lillard tonight, I don't see Portland being able to hang with this Pelicans squad for 48 minutes.
Lay the wood with New Orleans tonight.
5TH STRAIGHT 150 DIME FOOTBALL WINNER
Chiefs 31-20 over Niners
The clear cut right side of this game is the boys from the state of Missouri.
In watching the 2nd half of my 150 dime winner on the Niners over the Packers in the NFC championship game, one thing became very apparent to me.
This Niners defense is a bit overrated.
In using San Fran in the game, I discarded the 46 points they allowed and the zero sacks they had at New Orleans on December 8th against Drew Brees.
I discarded the 31 points they allowed at home and the zero sacks they had against the Rams in week 16 against Jared Goff.
In the title game up 27-0 nothing they allowed Aaron Rodgers to open the 2nd half with not one score, but 3 straight scoring drives getting the game to 34-20.
The Niners defense couldn't get to Rodgers in those 3 drives. Not one sack. Not one knock down. Nothing.
With every advantage on the planet earth: home field, crowd noise, big lead, they failed miserably.
That is a huge red flag for me in looking at this match up.
You want to get excited about the San Fran wins over Minnesota and Green Bay, be my guest but not me cause I thought those two teams were dog shit all year.
The Niners dodged huge bullets not having to face the Saints or a 3rd matchup with Seattle.
This San Fran defense is now facing the best QB they would have seen in 2 years, a QB in Patrick Mahomes who is as mobile as it gets.
From what we have seen in their match ups with mobile QB's this year, the Niners have struggled.
Against Russell Wilson they lost at home on Monday night in OT and should have lost week 17 in Seattle.
Against Kyler Murray they allowed 21 points on the road and 26 points at home allowing the rookie to scramble 8 times for 67 yards in that 2nd meeting.
The Niners defense will have their hands full with Mahomes, who could have a monster day..
Speaking of defense, while San Fran's defense is getting all the pub and all the hype, this Chiefs defense is playing their best ball of the year right now.
To shut down Derrick Henry the way they did was beyond impressive. He was only the hottest playoff running back in NFL history.
A running back that destroyed two defenses in the Patriots and Ravens that on paper were leaps and bounds better than the Chiefs.
Bottom line: Don't sleep on this Chiefs D, especially with the man they have in charge of that defense..
In 2008, current Chiefs defensive coordinator Steve Spagnola, faced the 18-0 Patriots in the Super bowl.
it was just 5 weeks prior those same Patriots went into New York the last game of the regular season and shredded the G'men 45-35.
With 2 weeks to prepare he came up with a game plan and beat the Patriots holding them to 14 points.!!!!
I fully expect him to take away the Niners run game and force Jimmy Garappolo to beat him. Advantage Chiefs.
Listen, the Niners went 4-12 last year and because of that record, they were gifted a soft schedule and to their credit, they took advantage of it.
Over his 20 year career when he has had 2 weeks to prepare Andy Reid is 17-3 SU.
Tough to beat with a bye week folks.
The only thing missing from Andy Reid's Hall Of Fame resume is a Super Bowl Championship.
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