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Going to ride the dog here.
When you release as many underdogs as I do, see the Vikings as your reference from Sunday, the first thing I look for is their ability to run the football.
You run the ball, you control the clock, you control possessions and barring turnovers, it's hard to blow a team out.
Minnesota ran for 150.
Which brings me to the Philadelphia Eagles.
Week one in Brazil, they allowed the Packers to run for 163 yards as the Packers ripped off a 33 and 32 yard runs.
Throw in the 260 Jordan Love threw for and you have over 420 yards total offense.
Bottom line: I wouldn't trust this defense laying more than a field goal right now against anyone.
Now to the Eagles.
They take the field tonight without their #1 receiver in A.J Brown, who is out with a hamstring injury.
To add to their struggles, Jalen Hurts threw 2 picks and lost a fumble in a snap exchange with new center Cam Jurgens.
So you think they are just going to find it tonight??? I don't think so.
Listen, I know Cousins didn't have his best game last week but let's give Mike Tomlin and that Pittsburgh defense some credit.
And, the Falcons defense played their ass off holding the Steelers to 6 field goals and no touchdowns.
So I have the better defense getting points against a defense that has trouble stopping the run.
Oh, and a defense led by an absolute hack in Vic Fangio. How this guy has a fucking job is beside me. Just a complete moron.
Advantage Falcons.
I expect Cousins to be better and the for the Falcons to bounce back and be in this game the whole way.
This doggy barks loud and clear in the city of brotherly love tonight.
I like them to cover again.
Last year as a 7-point home dog on Monday night the Minnesota Vikings knocked off the San Francisco 49ers 22-17.
Yes, the Niners were playing without Debo but the fact still remained, the Vikings defense was nasty.
Today the teams are the same with one exception, Cousins is out and Sam Darnold is in.
From what I saw from the former #1 pick of the Jets last week against the Giants, Darnold has pretty good command of this offense.
And the Vikings defense played their ass off which will bode well as a home dog today.
Were the Niners impressive against the Jets? Yes they were but there were some chinks in that Niners defense with a rusty Aaron Rodgers.
It's hard to go against the Niners but this is a place, as we saw from last year, they don't play well.
To the numbers: The Niners are 6-9 SU and 5-10 ATS last 15 game versus the NFC North. Not good.
With the home team on a 6-0 run ATS, I can't pass up this home dog of more than a field goal today.
Don't be surprised by another outright win by this home dog today.
All of my picks - EVERY SPORT - through the
NFL title game on February 12, 2023
26-6-2 Career Record
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My ratings system is pretty simple. Plays are generally rated anywhere between 25 and 100 Dimes to aide clients in money management. However, when I sense an opportunity to go for the jugular or when I'm on a roll and can afford to take shots with a bankroll that's been steadily growing, you better believe I'm going for it.
Where do I start? Let's just say Hollywood would not have made a movie based on my life as a professional sports handicapper, "Two For the Money," if I wasn't a winner!
"Two For The Money" is all about me, the guy who is 25-4-2 lifetime with his Super Bowl selections!
Al Pacino plays my boss, Renee Russo plays his wife and Matthew McConaughey plays me. "Two For The Money", debuted in theaters in October of 2005 and is widely available on DVD and you'll always find it playing on one of the major streaming services.
I was born in Midland, Michigan in 1963. Sports was always my first love and I was a great athlete in high school, lettering in two sports, but my dreams of playing college ball were cut short by a knee injury.
With my playing days over, I decided to see the world by joining the Navy in 1981, getting stationed aboard the Battleship New Jersey, where I eventually became the youngest sailor to ever qualify as a master helmsman in the ship’s history.
After being honorably discharged in 1984, I traveled the world for three more years before ending up in Las Vegas in 1987. It was there I entered the sports handicapping industry, building my reputation by validating my opinion to customers worldwide. The daily highs and lows of competing against the Vegas oddsmakers filled the void left by the end of my basketball career.
In 1989, I joined a nationally-known sports service based on the East Coast and immediately embarked on one of the most historic winning streaks ever witnessed in the handicapping world. After an incredible six-year run, I just had a feeling my life story would make a fascinating movie. But, with that decision came the realization that my dream would only be fulfilled by leaving the business.
Despite sitting atop the handicapping world, I abandoned the industry in 1996, moving to Los Angeles in order to turn my movie aspirations into a reality. I networked my way in as a caddy at the prestigious Riviera Country Club, knowing the job would eventually put me in touch with a director, writer, or producer that could take my dream to the silver screen. After caddying for the likes of President Clinton, Jack Nicholson and Tom Cruise, along came Dan Gilroy, whom I pitched the movie idea of a lifetime after he made a fifty-foot putt. Six years later, with Matthew McConaughey playing Brandon Lang, "Two For The Money" was born.
A funny thing happened along the way though. I had a movie about my life in production, but something was missing. It was this business. The emotion, the adrenaline rush you get every football weekend with it all coming down to the Monday Night Game. No other feeling in the world can compare to that I get from knowing people are betting hundreds of thousands of dollars on my opinion, and then having me come through in the clutch when nobody else could.
With the movie deal wrapped up, I returned to the business, making my online debut in August of 2004.
This is the ONLY place you can get ALL my plays, right here
There is no 800 phone service; no 900 numbers.
Here at my website, it's just me and you. I'm forced to validate my opinion every day I release a big play. I win, and you're happy. I lose too often, and you're gone. But, at the end of the day, it's just me and you.
Understand something right now: I am not going to win every day, every week or every month. But, I can put you on the right side of more games that you've ever been on in your gambling life, and by doing that, you will make money.
By the way, if you're curious about whether my record is legitimate, let me assure you it is, and let me explain why: You see I offer long-term packages of 7, 30, 60 and 100 days. Anyone who buys a package gets EVERY play I release, day in, day out. Now, if I lied, even once, how many customers do you think I'd have remaining?
See, that's the beauty of the Internet. I don't need some phony monitoring service to document my wins and losses. Instead, you - my customers - do that for me. You validate my opinion and assure my credibility. And that's why we're a team.
Yes, the movie was intoxicating. I mean, who wouldn't want to have a major motion picture made about their life? The countless radio and TV interviews are incredible, too. But, no matter how much I tell you about what Hollywood is like, remember that my focus remains on doing what I do best, and that's making people money.
Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me!